Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.882025 17.386239 20.116221 23.304688 26.917354 30.874345 35.526919
2025-02-16 10.260411 13.577674 17.579722 22.720341 29.100578 36.708327 46.409936
2025-02-23 7.656213 11.221538 15.888879 22.347910 30.941000 41.854458 56.616313
2025-03-02 6.014161 9.630055 14.704994 22.178109 32.699534 46.752938 66.662378
2025-03-09 4.845221 8.407301 13.728604 22.003910 34.237775 51.292429 76.407209
2025-03-16 3.686476 6.939114 12.110978 20.596414 33.746301 52.838781 81.995109
2025-03-23 3.225164 6.491779 11.956379 21.314810 36.366651 58.923401 94.347578
2025-03-30 2.904156 6.216357 12.018401 22.343212 39.503635 65.941831 108.480628
2025-04-06 2.400248 5.502947 11.221679 21.832433 40.102379 69.091869 116.945528
2025-04-13 1.913127 4.716551 10.165814 20.721053 39.560066 70.351813 122.494911
2025-04-20 1.774672 4.616967 10.361184 21.839335 42.858579 77.943034 138.431941
2025-04-27 1.687725 4.611176 10.730764 23.303593 46.857140 86.904461 157.042150
2025-05-04 1.459040 4.256008 10.389517 23.457534 48.671061 92.570925 171.013827
2025-05-11 1.237914 3.871952 9.938166 23.360786 50.055626 97.673640 184.506357
2025-05-18 1.039113 3.492059 9.429478 23.074621 51.040133 102.126012 197.147909
2025-05-25 0.881406 3.178463 9.013448 22.918558 52.239643 107.011896 210.792096
2025-06-01 0.747885 2.894898 8.616075 22.742951 53.364754 111.808576 224.519220
2025-06-08 0.576921 2.440618 7.709526 21.295458 51.740491 111.357785 228.768447
2025-06-15 0.525842 2.359418 7.747566 22.034804 54.739029 119.831122 249.729890
2025-06-22 0.491756 2.327408 7.912071 23.092866 58.500014 129.985133 274.298679
2025-06-29 0.408268 2.087280 7.454950 22.567398 58.753656 133.279268 286.158741
2025-07-06 0.321326 1.797298 6.791840 21.423875 57.506314 133.478861 292.107426
2025-07-13 0.305685 1.796646 7.000317 22.574500 61.588104 144.700549 319.864218